Browsed by
Tag: Stock Market Valuations

Diversification: What Is It Good For?

Diversification: What Is It Good For?

The investing world can be a complicated place. There are two main approaches to portfolio management when it comes to concentration. The first approach is broad diversification, favoured by value investors such as Benjamin Graham (Graham’s advice of having a well-diversified portfolio of 30 or more deep value stocks) and more recently Noble Prize winning economist Harry Markowitz in his Modern Portfolio Theory, and Dr John Lintner, both of whom strongly advocated diversification. On the other hand, there’s the highly concentrated…

Read More Read More

Are Stocks, Bonds And Real Estate Really At ‘Peak Valuation’?

Are Stocks, Bonds And Real Estate Really At ‘Peak Valuation’?

Benjamin Graham was known for his love of using historic data to analyze companies and historic market trends. Graham like to use long-term data series’, stretching across several decades, to come up with the most reliable figures. Both Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse have taken a similar approach to data analysis and the two banks put together research documents every year that look at the long-term asset returns. Deutsche Bank released its annual Long-Term Asset Return Study a few days ago. The bank used 200…

Read More Read More

Societe Generale Developed And Emerging Market Deep Value Screen

Societe Generale Developed And Emerging Market Deep Value Screen

Société Générale publishes a monthly update on the performance of several value orientated fundamental trading strategies across both developed and emerging markets. For deep value investors, one of the most interesting screens is the Graham & Rea deep value screen. The screen is a strategy developed by Benjamin Graham and James Rea. It uses a set of ten basic investment criteria used to identify deep-value opportunities. These criteria are also known as Graham’s last will, and the Benjamin Graham deep…

Read More Read More

Finding Value With The Piotroski F-Score Part 2

Finding Value With The Piotroski F-Score Part 2

**This article first appeared on Seeking Alpha and was published on 06/02/2015. This is the second in a series of articles looking at the investment performance of the Piotroski F-Score over the space of year. You can find the first part of this series, which explains the methodology behind the F-score, as well as an initial summary for each company, here. Finding value The F-Score was designed to hunt out value opportunities that are profit-making, have improving margins, don’t employ…

Read More Read More

Finding Value With The Piotroski F-Score

Finding Value With The Piotroski F-Score

The following is part of a series originally published at the end of November on SeekingAlpha. The series was designed to test the effectiveness of the Piotroski F-Score in today’s market. The F-Score was designed to help investors outperform the market, but if it was really that good, surely everyone would be using it? The stocks below were selected using computer screens, no human interaction was involved, the stocks that qualified for the F-Score screen, entered the test portfolio. I’ve always believed…

Read More Read More

Market Sentiment

Market Sentiment

“…The line separating investment and speculation, which is never bright and clear, becomes blurred still further when most market participants have recently enjoyed triumphs. Nothing sedates rationality like large doses of effortless money. After a heady experience of that kind, normally sensible people drift into behavior akin to that of Cinderella at the ball. They know that overstaying the festivities — that is, continuing to speculate in companies that have gigantic valuations relative to the cash they are likely to…

Read More Read More

Actively Managed Funds Consistently Outperform Trackers

Actively Managed Funds Consistently Outperform Trackers

According to research conducted by FE Trustnet, the average active UK growth fund has beaten an average, standard tracer fund over a period of one, three five and ten years. To say that this is astonishing is an understatement. Many market commenters have been reiterating the benefits of passive of active for some time now, and even market oracle, Warren Buffett has bet against actively managed hedge funds, making a $1 million bet with hedge-fund manager Protégé Partners that a…

Read More Read More

Corporate Cash Reaches a Record High.

Corporate Cash Reaches a Record High.

We live in a period of all-time highs. NYSE margin debt is at an all-time high, US debt is at an all-time high and the S&P 500 and DOW are at all-time highs.  However, interest rates remain at all-time lows. So then, it is surprising to find out that cash & short-term investments on the balance sheets of S&P 500 companies, excluding financials, have reached a level not seen before.  Indeed, according to data from Factset the S&P 500 cash…

Read More Read More

Earnings Growth Compared To Market Returns

Earnings Growth Compared To Market Returns

In theory, the S&P 500 should rise in line with earnings. In practice  this does not happen. While this comes as no surprise, the scale of the difference is astounding. Period Earnings Growth S&P 500 Returns 2003-2013 148% 68% 1993-2003 16% 137% 1983-1993 5% 179% Across three decades the date shows that the S&P 500 has almost no correlation to earnings growth. The current period, 2003 to 2013 has seen the fastest earnings growth but the slowest S&P 500 growth….

Read More Read More

Derivatives Market Reaches New High

Derivatives Market Reaches New High

A combination of fractional reserve banking, bank leverage, money printing, derivative manufacturing and government borrowing has been the reason behind much of the global GDP growth over the past 40 years. This market is now worth a staggering $1 + quadrillion,  that’s $1,000,000,000,000,000 of essentially worthless derivatives where buyers only need to put up a fraction of the purchase price. Add in $250 trillion of government debt around the world and things start to look pretty shaky. During 2012, the…

Read More Read More